The Ratio Religion

The oldest papyrus scrolls from ancient Egypt describe mathematics. Especially important to the ancient Egyptians were fractions. Every conceivable fraction can be expressed as the sum of reciprocals (fractions that are 1/n), and they had a couple of good reasons for using these sums, nowadays known as Egyptian fractions.

Firstly, it made comparisons easier. To work out which is the larger of 3/4 and 4/5, with Egyptian Fractions you get the answer and the margin:

3/4 = 1/2 + 1/4
4/5 = 1/2 + 1/4 + 1/20
We can now see that 4/5 is the larger – by exactly 1/20

Secondly, how would you share 5 sacks of grain between 8 people? Yes, they get 5/8 of a sack each, but that isn’t easy to actually measure out. So using Egyptian fractions we get this answer:

5/8 = 1/2 + 1/8
That’s 1/2 a sack each, plus 1/8 of a sack each. Much easier to actually measure!

The above examples, useful calculators and more, are at Dr Ron Knott’s site:
http://www.maths.surrey.ac.uk/hosted-sites/R.Knott/Fractions/egyptian.html

This image is from Terrance Nevin’s site, feels legit:

newhorus

It is becoming clear to me that ancient dimensions are based on ratios. As a poor example, 22/7 = pi. Pyramids that have seemingly random angles fit in nicely when the ratio is unveiled.

While we have some commonalities – the great pyramid of Giza is twice the height and the same base of the Pyramid of the Sun in Mexico – most of the found ratios tend to have isolated numerical qualities.

Perhaps, back then, the only important factor was that the dimensions of your building fitted a ratio. Any ratio. Perhaps society back then just looked for ratios?

This makes sense if you consider the wheel to be a ratio, or the lunar eclipse cycle….

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Of late I am thinking that the ancient mysterious elders were missionaries. Dropped off in remote lands, and leaving decades later.

Montag and Pratt Blew $10M before Mayan Doomsday

playboy

I’ll never forget the name Heidi Montag because she was on the cover of the Playboy issue where I was interviewed (alongside 3 members from my forum).

Heidi Montag & Spencer Pratt Promote "How To Be Famous"

Turns out she was a true believe of the ancient Mayan apocalypse theory, and thought it would be a good idea to go out with a bang before an asteroid wiped us all out.

This is from China Daily:

US reality show couple Heidi Montag and Spencer Pratt last week revealed how a belief that the world was going to end in December 2012 gave them occasion to blow their $10 million fortune. In a recent interview with InTouch magazine, the couple say they went from one of reality TV’s richest couples to living with Pratt’s parents in Santa Barbara. “Every time we’d go out to eat, we’d order $4,000 bottles of wine. Heidi was going to the mall and dropping $20,000 to $30,000 a day. We thought we were Jay Z and Beyonce.” The couple revealed earlier in the year that they were so convinced that the Mayan Apocalypse was coming that they blew millions of dollars before the calendar hit December 21, 2012. “We made and spent at least $10 million,” Spencer later told OK! magazine. “We thought, we have got to spend this money before the asteroid hits.”

Read the story in more detail at News.com.au

Power your SmartPhone for a Week

If a scenario arises in which you cannot recharge your cell phone, but the phone infrastructure is still up-and-running, this Dark Energy Reservoir portable charger is a good choice for your Go Bag.

Reservoir

One spec that stands out – it retains full capacity for 1 year if unused.

It costs $129 and is slightly larger than an iPhone. For most smartphones it can keep them charged for a week. In a survival situation (where you are super conscious of battery use) that could work out to be a month rather than a week. See this list for how many times your device can be charged.

Wikipedia’s Survival Plans

Note – smart survivalists have their own backup of Wikipedia – cheap, portable, batteries last a long time – it’s called WikiReader. I have several at my safe spot, because they only cost $12.

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Unsurprisingly, the greatest repository of knowledge in history – Wikipedia – has a backup plan. Fortunately a single act of violence will not destroy it, like the Library of Alexandria.

Unlike most governments, Wikipedia takes extinction level events seriously:

An imminent extinction level event initiated by a full-scale global thermonuclear war, asteroid impact, stellar gamma ray burst, a drastic increase or decrease in the Sun’s power output, abrupt reorientation of the planet’s axis of rotation or other event that would likely lead to the termination of human biological activity.

Clearly the remedy isn’t to print the entire encyclopedia onto diamond disks (see below). The answer is plain paper:

Following the implementation of the level 2 warning, editors are expected to commence the transfer of the encyclopedia to other media. As an immediate measure, it is suggested that editors print as many articles as possible, with due regard to any personal safety concerns that may be faced in these extraordinary events.

However laborious this approach may seem, editors are asked to bear in mind that transfer to electronic media, such as CD, DVD or memory stick, while quicker, would defeat the purpose of this policy. It is probable that following an event of sufficient magnitude to cause these protocols to be activated, that it will be unlikely that electrical power supply will be maintained for long and once gone, it may be a matter of decades before power is restored. Moreover, if the technological level is substantially reduced, people may lack the ability to read current digital formats. Editors are urged to consider data storage techniques from a long-term perspective.

Attention should be paid to the manner of storage of articles once printed. Over the medium-term, copies of articles can be stored in suitable air-tight containers in a temperature controlled environment. However, over the longer term, even material stored in this manner will deteriorate so editors should consider a subsequent transcription to a medium such as vellum, which if prepared correctly, has an expected lifetime of centuries.

It is not expected that Wikipedia editors will manage to print all 4 million articles. Most editors will be attending to more personal matters, I presume. It is suggested that alongside practical articles of a survivalist nature, articles of high cultural significance should be saved first.

Meanwhile at a Wikimedia server facility a more sturdy physical backup will be made. Not diamond disks – alloy plates!

In parallel with the procedures outlines above, implementation of an alternative strategy will be undertaken at the Wikimedia server facility. On the implementation of the TEMP protocol, a laser etched version of Wikipedia will be created using plates of a resilient alloy to store miniaturized versions of every page.

This version will be stored in a vault in a geologically stable area. While this method precludes easy access to the encyclopedia, it will ensure that an accurate historical record of Wikipedia will exist for generations of the far-future once a sufficient level of technology is regained by the human race to access the information.

I would have thought the etching wouldn’t be achievable in just an hour or two…

And finally, if all of mankind is doomed, we will still attempt to send the data to our alien friends:

If it is deemed to be probable that an extinction level event will occur shortly, this data shall be transmitted from the world’s radio telescopes to the 300 nearest stars and to the centre of the galaxy for as long as possible.

I do have a criticism – these plans seem missing a more obvious solution. Have some high-speed printers set up at locations around the world, with software to co-ordinate the printing of every article. The world’s fastest laser printers can reach 200 pages per minute. That’s 12,000 pages in one hour. Perhaps two articles could be squeezed onto each page. That’s 1/160th of the entire encyclopedia.

Of course we don’t want or need all 4 million articles to be printed. Software could remove articles that are rarely visited, alongside those about people and businesses who aren’t well-known. You could determine that by how much cross-linking occurs within Wikipedia. Likewise geographical articles.

Alternatively, the task could be crowd-sourced – ask editors if an article is important enough to be preserved.

If they reduced the “must keep” articles to 500,000, then just 10 high-spreed printers at each location could print the lot in 2 hours.

Or, store one printer and computer in each location, within a Faraday cage, in a bunker. Have a backup generator, and then just set it to print at the push of a button, or even triggered remotely. And make sure there’s lots of space for the pages to pile up!

Plans B & C Should Be Required of All Utilities

I know that western countries tend to be over-regulated, and I would prefer it if regulations and requirements, taxes and licenses that negatively impacted citizens and small businesses didn’t exist.

However, I am all for regulating major businesses – especially utilities, and especially to mitigate risk.

As it happens, governments do virtually nothing to prepare for mega-disasters, they only prepare for little ones like hurricanes and floods. They don’t prepare for mega-tsunamis, solar storms, or terrorist attacks on electrical grids.

Consequently the bodies and businesses that run our utilities tend to make the minimum preparations and risk mitigation required of them by law. That makes sense, because generally their main concern is making a profit, not looking after the welfare of citizens.

I am keen to see regulations created that force services that we rely on to have backup plans should the unthinkable happen.

Hospitals – typically have diesel generators and three days worth of fuel. They should be required to have at least one month’s fuel, and a Plan C for when that runs out. That would include non-electrical equipment that can replace electrical equipment to some degree. Battery operated lighting. A plumbing system that can be pumped by hand.

Armed Forces, Emergency Services and Police – weapons will still work, vehicles might, but if they don’t have communications then they won’t be much use. A redundant communication system that does not rely on the power grid needs to be in place. I don’t care if they resort to smoke signals – anything would be better than nothing.

Water – some facilities in Australia have good back up plans, most don’t. Diesel generators (with a lot of spare fuel) should be mandatory. Anywhere gravity can shift water and sewerage, it should be able to without any electricity required to make it happen.

In a previous post I pointed out that supply bottlenecks should be created so a surplus of basic supplies exists in the wholesale delivery infrastructure.

Especially disturbing is the threat of nuclear meltdowns in the USA, should power grids be down for prolonged periods. There is a culture of providing the minimum backup plans required by law – that is typically 3-7 days of diesel power. Following Fukushima you would expect some improvements, yet despite some smart bills being passed, they were denied by the Senate!

A very sensible bill was passed by the House in 2010 – H.R. 5026, the Grid Reliability and Infrastructure Defense (GRID) Act – which proposed measures that would minimize the risks associate with entire grid failure. For example:

Such standards shall require entities that own or operate large transformers to ensure, individually or jointly, adequate availability of large transformers to promptly restore the reliable operation of the bulk-power system in the event that any such transformer is destroyed or disabled as a result of a reasonably foreseeable physical or other attack or geomagnetic storm event.

The #1 reason it could take 6 months to restore the grid is a lack of spare transformers. The logical solution is to have some spares on hand. Unfortunately the bill was not passed by the Senate. I guess more important things need taxpayer money…

Read more: http://survive2012.com/news/2012/09/nuclear-meltdowns-3942.html

Discussion Boards For 2012ers

I will be joining some of these. They all get my vote based on a good look. Consider these my officially recommended discussion boards for 2012ers.

CONSPIRACY

RabbitHole2
http://www.rabbithole2.com/forum/
I am managing this one, taking over from Lucus. I intend to do the same with the main site there as I did with Survive2012 – build lots of content, get lots of traffic, and some visitors will join the forum. It might take a while to take off (years even) but there is no rush. Right now some active 2012 Forum members are there.

Conspiracy Cafe
http://www.conspiracycafe.net/
Similar tone to the serious discussions found at 2012 Forum.

Reddit
http://www.reddit.com/r/conspiracy/
Similar tone to the serious discussions found at 2012 Forum.

David Icke
http://www.davidicke.com/forum/
Regardless of your opinion of Icke, his forum is huge!

Above Top Secret
http://www.abovetopsecret.com/forum/index.php
Quite good, a notch above those below.

Also consider
http://www.godlikeproductions.com/
http://lunaticoutpost.com/
http://kritterbox.com/
http://articlechase.com/beyondnews/foru … .php?fid=4
But beware of animated GIFs!

And this one, small but sane:
https://www.therealconspiracyforum.com/

SURVIVAL / PREPPING

Survivalist Boards
http://www.survivalistboards.com
I’ve written there before, they have a 2012 section.

American Preppers Network
http://www.americanpreppersnetwork.net/index.php
A focus on practical prepping.

Prepared 2 Survive (UK)
http://www.p2s-prepared2survive.co.uk/
pipsqueak at 2012 Forum says “Lots of good sound advice plus real life meet ups.”

Surviving Disaster: Preparedness & Self-Reliance
https://plus.google.com/u/0/communities … 1253860947
Started by Ogmios of 2012 Forum as a Google+ community – 50 members, some from 2012 Forum

Aus Survivalist
http://www.aussurvivalist.com/forum
For Aussies.

Also try:
http://www.survivalmonkey.com/
http://www.preparedsociety.com/forum/

NEW AGE

Too many! Try starting with a Google search for discussion involving the guru/author/ascended master you like the most ;)

This looks a good fit for 2012ers – Science and Spirit:
http://www.thespiritscience.net/forum/

SCIENCE

CosmoQuest
http://cosmoquest.org/forum/
Space stuff, bad astronomy and conspiracy theories!

Sci Forums
http://www.sciforums.com/forum.php
Similar tone to 2012 Forum, and even some apocalypse threads.

Science and Philospohy
http://www.sciencechatforum.com/index.php
Very serious looking.

ANCIENT MYSTERIES

Graham Hancock
http://www.grahamhancock.com/phorum/list.php?f=1
Some serious authors have hung out there.

Unexplained Mysteries
http://www.unexplained-mysteries.com/forum/
Also lots of paranormal discussions.

2012 Forum Closing on Sunday

2012-forum-logo

My 2012 Forum began in early 2006 and ran for 7.5 years. It started out as a means to managing comments at Survive2012.com and quickly became the most popular place to discuss the 2012 meme.

It became so successful that:

  • 4 members were the focus of a feature article in Playboy magazine
  • several members made TV appearances
  • survival communities formed, as well as some marriages and babies – due to folk meeting there
  • 490,000 posts on 27,000 topics
  • 11,000 members, thousands of whom made a post

Because the topic was 2012, and it is now beyond that date, I have decided to switch the forum off at the end of June 2013 – but leave it archived due to the wealth of opinion and information that lies within it.

For former members and those still interested in 2012ish topics, I’ve made a list of places where you can hang out – see the next post:

Thanks everyone, this was a big part of many lives and won’t be forgotten.

=================

Yep, 2012 wasn’t a doomsday. While it still makes great sense to prepare for major disasters, it would seem they can now happen any time, rather than perhaps in late 2012.

I doubt I will mention the 2012 doomsday meme much in the future, but I won’t run out of thoughts on associated themes.

Survive2012.com Plus!

While I am happy with my Dec 2012 risk assessment, it also daft publishing under such a moniker in 2013 and beyond – so this is the new blog – welcome!

The Mayans may have been a bit out with their doomsday prediction – certainly modern scientists cannot predict the return of a long-period comet or a massive solar storm with any accuracy….

Regardless, the principles remain, our cozy world is substantially more fragile than we imagine. So, henceforth, I will try to ram that home.

Press Release: Lunar Eclipses

Lunar Eclipses and Killer Earthquakes

MELBOURNE, Australia, May 30, 2012

Could next week’s lunar eclipse (on June 4) cause a major earthquake? Researcher Robert Bast has uncovered a connection between eclipses and earthquakes, suggesting that the Moon’s gravity affects Earth much more than previously suspected.

It is well understood that the Moon’s gravity is the cause of tidal movements in our largest bodies of water. There are also Earth tides, in which the Earth’s crust can bulge by up to 55 centimeters due to the forces of gravity from the Moon and Sun – those forces are greatest when the three bodies are in alignment. They are at their greatest alignment during an eclipse.

“I listed every earthquake measuring greater than 6.5 in magnitude since 1973 – which is as far back as the USGS records reliably go – and checked them against every lunar and solar eclipse for the same period,” says Bast.

The study found only a slight increase in earthquakes around solar eclipses. But for lunar eclipses – when the Sun and Moon pull on our planet from opposite directions – the odds of a major earthquake are double. Earthquakes of 7.5 magnitude or greater occur on average every 73.8 days. Within one day of a lunar eclipse, the average drops down to just one in every 33 of those days. Lesser earthquakes also occur substantially more frequently.

For a recent example, Bast points out that on the same day as the lunar eclipse on December 21, 2010, there was a 7.4 magnitude earthquake in Japan. The following day there was a 6.5 quake in Iran, killing 11 people.

The full article is at: http://survive2012.com/index.php/eclipses-and-earthquakes.html

Press Release: Noah’s Ark

New Discovery Helps Solve Noah’s Ark Mystery

Melbourne, Australia, February 16, 2011

Religious zealots have searched high and low for remains of the Biblical ship known as Noah’s Ark, while scientists dismiss the story as a myth. Recent discoveries in Iran provide evidence for a new solution to this ancient mystery.

Numerous pre-Biblical texts describe the story of Noah, with the stories being similar enough for scholars to conclude that the Bible is one of the more recent sources, and likely to be less accurate. By looking at the most popular sources in combination, researcher Robert Bast has uncovered the possibility that Noah’s Ark was not a ship after all.

According to the Babylonian Epic of Gilgamesh, Noah’s ship had very non-nautical dimensions, being 7 stories high, 55 metres wide and 55 metres long.

The Zoroastrianism Avesta did not describe a ship at all, but rather an underground village – while still retaining other elements of the story such as “two of every kind of animal”, and an almighty storm that punishes all humans, with only Noah and his family surviving.

The Bible, rather than calling it Noah’s ship, used the word “ark” – in the original Hebrew this denoted a chest or box.

From the three ancient epics, there is one that describes an underground village, one that describes a chest or box, and one that if you remove the word boat, doesn’t appear to be describing a boat at all.

“We have been searching in the wrong places, primarily high up in mountains like Mt Ararat”, says Mr Bast. “If the flood didn’t cover mountains, perhaps the Ark is not a ship, and not up a mountain. It may have been right under our noses all along.”

When Bast realised that Noah’s Ark might not be a ship, the other pieces of the puzzle fell into place.

  • It is physically impossible for mountains (or even hills) to be covered by floods, there simply isn’t enough water.
  • In the same sentence (Genesis 7:20), the Bible tells us that the flood that covered the mountains was only 15 cubits (8 metres) deep.
  • Without a flood that covered the mountains, a ship is no longer necessary for survival.

Bast says this explains why the pre-Biblical texts suggest either a large square structure above ground (such as a ziggurat), or an underground city. Recent discoveries in Iran may have unwittingly found the underground structure that was the basis for the Noah’s Ark story.

In 2004 archaeologists discovered a three-story underground city, lying beneath the small town of Nushabad near Kashan. The above-ground town covers 170 hectares, while underground the structure could be just as large. Since then several other subterranean complexes have been discovered in Iran, and a new field of study, subterranean or hand-dug architecture, has been established.

Bast says that definitive proof will rely on the exact dimensions of one of the structures matching that of an ark myth, while radiometric dating that shows a structure is of the same era as the myths will convince many.

The full story is at http://survive2012.com/index.php/noahsark.html